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Bakken & ND

NY Times & Bakken
Bakken Oil Prices Arresting The Decline Tight Oil Charts
USA Oil Play's Map

The USA Texas - Minus EIA
The World Respect Voices Gone
Oil Future's

Market Timer Falling Rig Count Going For Broke Deja Vu - 1982 Einhorn Slam
Dalrymple Slam Wrigley & Numbers
WLL & The Dilution CLR & The Tiger MDU & Rates HESS & The US V.I. Big Debt


The Bakken / North Dakota
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They Say You Cant Fix Stupid
The Misleading Crap Told To Local's That The USA Has Proven Reserves Greater Then Saudi
Bakken / North Dakota - Oil Boom Or Bust
Data For Bakken - Production - Decline - Hype

Bakken / North Dakota - Real Estate Boom Or Bust - Permits - Sales - Hype - Reality
The Needs & No Common Sense Of The Few Out Weigh & Place The Burden On The Needs & Common Sense Of The Many
2015 Fed Data Shows N.D. As One Of Two Of The Two Worst Performing States - ND Enters Into Recession
If You Sense A Lack of Good Law Enforcement And A Sense Of Lawlessness - You Should - Your Not Alone - Murder - Drugs - Gangs - No Knocks
Search Bakken Crime - Law Enforcement Boom Or Bust Page  Awareness - Not Location Is Key To Self Preservation & Self Defense
"In America We Have A Right To An Attorney & A Trial Before We Are Sentenced To Death."- Rachel Hoffman - Andrew Sadek
ND State - Debt - Legacy Fund
Data - State Debt $9.0 Billion 
Big Money - Big Equity
$4.0 Billion Cracker Plant To Be Built
Announced 10/2014
June 2015 - Second Plant To Be Built
Debt - Futures - Capex - Stupid Money
Four of every five new barrels of oil
Simply replace output lost to the high depletion rates.
Bakken Oil Train Derailments

Drilling Deeper - 2014
A REALITY CHECK ON U.S. GOVERMENT FORECASTS 
Bakken H2S Sour Gas & Safety Battle

ND State Agriculture
 In Hydrocarbon Crisis
FOR A LASTING TIGHT OIL & SHALE GAS BOOM
Drilling Deeper - 2015
Lynn Helms & The Disclaimer
 Who Is In Charge ? -  Surge - The Lawsuit!
The Coming Bust In North Dakota ?

What If The Boom Is Just A Bubble

Energy Exploitation Of America

Hydraulic Fracking - Going To Far
Hidden Beneath The Ground ? Biocides
The Dark Side Of Fracking In ND

The Game Changer Of Shale (Tight) Oil
Its The Water! Yes Water With Biocides

Helm Says "Not A Bust" - "Field Of Lost Dreams" - The Bakken Exodus

Helm's Wage  Is $16,695.00 A Month & The Guy Next To Him Gets $15,000.00 A Month
Combined Monthly Wage Of 115 People At The Industrial Commission $504,598.64 - Does Not Include Temps
Helm's Not A Bust State Payroll Roster - Page 66

The Cozy Relatioship The Huge Spreadsheet Error
If Not A Bust It Has Created Several Other Booms - Post Oil Boom Drug Prices Fall As Gang Drug Trafficking Is Worse Then Ever 07-2016
Jail Boom Drug Boom Sex Crime Boom Poverty Boom Heroin Boom
Gang Boom
If You Sense A Lack of Good Law Enforcement And A Sense Of Lawlessness - You Should - Your Not Alone - Murder - Drugs - Gangs - No Knocks
Search Bakken Crime - Law Enforcement Boom Or Bust Page  Awareness - Not Location Is Key To Self Preservation & Self Defense
"In America We Have A Right To An Attorney & A Trial Before We Are Sentenced To Death."- Rachel Hoffman - Andrew Sadek

State Employees Receive $2.1 Million In Retention and Recruitment (BOOM) Bonuses 11/2015 - While Crime Rages
$100K Alone Went To 5 In Governor's Office Are They Aware And Or Of The One Percent ?
Dick Dever of Bismarck says the state has been competing with the private sector and the $1.5 million in retention bonuses are justified. As Crime Rages On

The Bakken Begins Its Decline 11/2015
Papers In The Roadside Tell of Suffering and Greed    Fear Today, Forgot Tomorrow  Besides the News of Holy War and Holy Need    Ours Is Just a Little Sorrowed Talk
Ordinary World

The New York Times In Depth Look At & The Reality Of  The Bakken
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Gov. Jack Dalrymple - Outsiders, he explained, simply need to be educated out of their fear of fracking:
 “There is a way to explain it that really relaxes people, that makes them understand this is not a dangerous thing that we’re doing out here,
That it’s really very well managed and very safe and really the key to the future of not only North Dakota but really our entire nation.”
Dalrymple Slam

Oil Bust Puts Tribes & Towns Over A Barrel - 03/2016

The Downside Of The Boom - Part 1. - 11/2014
North Dakota Took On The Oversight Of A Multibillion Dollar Oil Industry
With A Regulatory System Built On Trust, Warnings & Second Chances
Where Oil & Poltics Mix - Part 2. -11/2014
After An Unusual Land Deal, A Giant Spill And A Tanker Train Explosion
Anxiety Began To Ripple Across The North Dakota Prairie
The Downside Of Commodity Prices - 10/2015
The Heartland Feels The Chill
In ND - A Story Of Oil - Corruption & Death - 12/2014
Where Oil - Poison Water - Corruption & Bodies Surface
Pollution - Death - Cancer - Denton Outlaws Fracking
Key Impacts -  From Tight Oil Development - The Impacts On The Environment
In The Bakken - Blood & Needless Tragedy & Death
“The Bakken is the most dangerous oil field to work in the U.S.,” Williams said.
OSHA Be More Aggressive In The Bakken!
"Shrewd corporate practices and weak federal oversight
Shield energy producers from responsibility,
 When workers die, while shifting the blame to others."
frackingcanada.ca
A Remarkable Insight To The Madness Of The Oil & Gas Industry
Fracking - Canada, USA, Austrailla, The World
The Destruction Underway
Oil & Gas - In Control
"You Know What Happens To Lottery Winners"
The Prairie Blog
"Area Voices"

Flint Hills Resources - Oil Price Market Price - Bakken Sweet Crude
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Plains Marketing - Oil Price


Why Shale (Tight) Oil's Safety Net Is About To Expire Regulator Warns Of Lending To E&P's

"Finally we have an opportunity to go out and explore for oil and drill without fear of price collapse." Harold Hamm  - 10-2011
"How North Dakota Became Saudi Arabia" !

It is from this twilight zone, that the "Bakken Red Queen”   For some time outrun by the high oil price, cheap debt funding
Growth in global total debt and low interest rates will emerge and catch up.   From here it will be most interesting to follow the continued race between

Bakken LTO extraction and its "Bakken Red Queen”.
Rune Likvern
The Delayed Red Queen

The Delayed Red Queen & Now Tick Tock The Water Clock
Saudi Arabia Has a Solution to the Global Oil Glut Problem - 04/24/15
Saudi Arabia has a response to the global surplus of oil: Raise output to near-record levels and then pump even more.
The Solution

The Problem - Oil Prices - They Are Not Low Enough

Bankrupt & Suffering - They Keep On Pumping 04/2016


Five Year Average
2011 to 2015 - Low $51.18 - High $73.80
Ten Year Average
2006 to 2015 - Low $40.79 - High $76.07
Fifthteen Year Average
2001 to 2015 - Low $34.38 - High $63.39

Bakken Sweet Crude Futures - Flint Hills Resources Futures - Years 2000 To 2016
Bakken Sweet Has Only Traded Above $60.00 - Four Of The Past Seventeen Years


So I say  I say welcome, welcome to the boomtown  Pick a habit We got plenty to go around  Welcome, welcome to the boomtown
All that money makes such a succulent sound  Welcome to the boomtown

Welcome To The Boomtown

Bakken Sweet Crude Futures - Flint Hills Resources Futures - Monthly 06/14 To 09/16
2014 - Two Month Candles - 2015 2016 One Month Candles


Well I don't mind stealing bread From the mouths of decadents
But I can't feed on the powerless When my cup's already overfilled

Temple Of The Dog - Hunger Strike

NYMEX - WTI - /QM - Light Sweet Crude Futures - Years 2000 To 2016
WTI Has Only Traded Above $60.00 - Six Of The Past Seventeen Years


"There must be some kind of way out of here,  Said the joker to the thief, There's too much confusion,  I can't get no relief.
Business men – they drink my wine  Plowmen dig my earth
None will level on the line  Nobody of it is worth."

All Along The Watchtower

How Big Oil Is Profiting From The Slump

Is Unconventional Unproven Leading To Gas Condensate Not Oil ?


The Real Cause Of Low Oil Prices - Arthur Berman

To Much Oil & No Where To Put It! March 2015
Drilling Permits Plunge !
Sub Minus $50.00 Oil In North Dakota!

Price - Now May Be The Time To Panic !
Why Price Is Plunging - The Deal !


The Year Of 2014 - 2015 - WTI & Bakken Spread Pricing

bam-boom-bubble-bust-bump-bang
Does Anyone Think Any Of This Is Going To End Well
  S&P 500 Index Price Overlaid With The Price Of Oil - As Of September 2016
The Divergance Of Reality Continues



Arresting The Decline
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"The hard reality is this: propping up zombie oil companies is only going to make the downturn last longer."
Who Should You Call To Arrest Decline
What A Irony. Arresting The Decline. Long before oil price went in the toliet, Decline was everywhere. No one spoke much about her.
They seemed to deny that she was everywhere. They just kept feeding her and giving her more and more to decline.
They shrugged her off in quartely conference calls. Experts and everyday people with calculators warned of her. Wrote of her, charted her.
Respected her. Warned of the day she would overtake their enabeling addiction of drilling. Tryed to come up with ways to shut her down,
That just dont work in tight oil. So to have her arrested, who do you call? The police, the E&P's, the FBI, the NDIC, the TRRC, the media,
the banks, Wall Street. Probaly all of the above. It will be difficult, very difficult to bring her in, she is lurking at every lease, behind every
pump, in every production tank. She is in the paper work, the permits, the earnings, she is the thought that crosses the mind and is brushed off.

Updated When All Three Report Same Month Data
Bare In Mind - Increased Production Only Seems To Decrease Price
2015 Combined Production Of The Big Three -
Bakken / ND - Permian Texas - Eagle Ford Texas - YOY 2014 -  2015 - Up 177959 Barrels A Day
The Bakken / ND Has Been The Decline Drag In 2015 -
YOY - 2014 - 2015 BK/ND Production Is Down 74787 bbls Per Day
 Dec. 2014 (Was Peak) To July 2016 - BK/ND Production Is Down 197976 bbls Per Day

2016 Combined Production Of The Big Three - Bakken / ND - Permian Texas - Eagle Ford Texas - YTD July 2016 - Down 310612 Barrels A Day
Year To Date July 2016 - Bakken Production Is Down 123189 bbls Per Day
Year To Date July 2016 Permian - Eagle Ford Production Is Down 187423 bbls Per Day

  As Of July 2016 - A Combined Count Of 3250 New Wells x $8 Million A Well Is $26.0 Billion
A Average BBL Per Day Well Production Of - (96) bbls Per Day
At A 2008 to 2016 Average Of The Big Three Of 35.3 bbls Per Well - You Would Need To Add 8799 Wells Today
  If You Could Bring Them Online Today - 8799 x $8 Million A Well Is $70.3 Billion
What Are They Thinking !

The Problem With Oil Prices - They Are Not Low Enough

Bakken / North Dakota Average1 Permian Basin Average1 Eagle Ford Average

Bakken / ND - Permian - Eagle Ford - Combined Production - 2008 To Current 2016
In 2015 You Did Not See Candle Over Candle Growth - Nothing But Cross - Recross - Test - Of The 3.4 - 3.6 Mark - Doji - Doji - Vroooooooooooooom - 2015 Ended As A Hammer


Tight Oil Charts
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Tight Oil Daily Production - 2008 to Current
Bakken / ND - BK / ND / Permian - PM - / Eagle Ford - EF  / Alaska - AK -
- All State & Federal Data Lags Two to Three Months In Reporting
Alaska Peaked In 1988 / Bakken / ND & Eagle Ford Have Offset That Decline / No Data PM & EF 1988




Tight Oil Well Count Added Each Year
Bakken / ND - In production since 1951 - Permian West Texas - In production since 1921 -
Eagle Ford - In production since 2008
BK / ND - Bakken / ND Is Actual Producing Count 2008 To 2012 - 2013 On Is Actual Well Completions Count As Reported By The NDIC
PM - Permian Is Permits 2008 To Current - EF - Eagle Ford Is Permits 2008 To Current


Gross Tight Oil Well Count Year Over Year
 Bakken / ND - In production since 1951 - Permian West Texas - In production since 1921 - Eagle Ford - In production since 2008
BK / ND - Bakken / ND Is Actual Producing Count 2008 To 2012 - 2013 On Is Actual Well Completions Count As Reported By The NDIC
PM - Permian Is Permits 2008 To Current - EF - Eagle Ford Is Permits 2008 To Current



Bakken / ND - Four Top Counties In Production
 Mountrial / MNT - McKenzie / MCK - Williams / WIL - Dunn / DUN
This Does Not Include Confidential Wells


Oil Production By ND County - dmr.nd.gov


80% Of All ND & Bakken Production Comes From 4 Counties

USA Oil  Play's
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Looking back at a prairie town  People ask me why I went away  To fly with the best, sometimes you have to leave the nest
But the prairies made me what I am today
Prarie Town

Bakken / ND
1,029,507 bbls oil a day
13,255 Wells
= 77.6 bbls oil a day
  July
. 2016

Niobrara Col.
  309,000 bbls oil a day 
  June. 2016

Wyoming
  192,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016


California
  492,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016


Permian Basin
  1,462,121 bbls oil a day
  63,051 Wells Permitted
= 23 bbls oil a day
July. 2016

Eagle Ford
  952712 bbls oil a day
  21085 Wells Permitted
= 45 bbls oil a day
July. 2016

Texas Annual
2,752,000 bbls oil a day
193,807 Wells =
14.2 bbls oil a day
Dec. 2015


Updated When All Three Are In The Same Month
The Combined Production Of The Three Largest Play's - Bakken - Eagle Ford - Permian Basin
BK / ND Current July. 2016 - Eagle Ford Current July. 2016 & Permian Current July. 2016
3,444,340 bbls oil a day - Divided by (2008 to Current) 97391 Wells - Is 35.3 bbls oil a day per well.
  97391 Wells Times An Estimated $8 Million Per Well Is $779.1 Billion Dollars

Utica Ohio
 
64,000 bbls oil a day
 
June. 2016

Marcellus NY
  1,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016

Pennsylvania
  16,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016

West Virginia
  23,000 bbls oil a day

  June. 2016

SCOOP - Okla.
  417,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016


New Mexico
393,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016

Kansas
101,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016


Florida
  5,000 bbls oil a day
  June. 2016


A Visual On The Chemical Cancer Of Fracking Spreading Across The USA - As Of 2013 - July Of 2016 - 97190 Wells
675,000 Wells Are Projected By 2040


The USA
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Alaska North Slope Boom Or Bust

Hydraulic Fracking - Going To Far
Hidden Beneath The Ground ? Biocides ?
Florida Boom Or Bust

Montana Boom Or Bust
40 Billion Barrels Of Oil
The Real Game Changer Of (Tight) Oil

New Mexico Boom Or Bust

Oklahoma Boom Or Bust

Boom Bubble Bang Bump Economy

Ohio & Utica Boom Or Bust

The Coming Bust In Texas

Energy Independence
Exploitation Of America

Energy Bubbles That Are Leaking Air

The Coming Bust In The USA

The Oil Fairy - Abiotic Oil

The Thong Guy - No Class

EIA - All Crude Oil Production By State

Texas - Minus The EIA
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Eagle Ford & Texas Boom Or Bust

Permian Basin - West Texas Boom Or Bust

Updated When All Three Report Same Month Data
Texas State Production - EIA Texas Production - EIA USA Production
For 10 Years Of Massive Hype & Debt & Pollution - The 1970 Peak Of 10,044,000 BPD Just Cannot Be Reached
Marion King Hubbert Was Correct In 1956 & Stands Correct Today
Hubbert Was Aware Of Shale (Tight) Oil Being Exploited One Day When He Made His Calculation
Voices Gone But Not Forgotten

USA Peaked In 1970 - Red Line & 1988 With Alaska - Black Line & 2015 Tight Oil - Blue Line

The USA Daily Production Is Off By 772,409 bbls A Day June. 2016

TRRC Monthly Oil & Gas Production
  2,396,591 bbls a day current June. 2016
EIA - USA Current Production
Is 8,701,000 bbls a day. June. 2016
EIA - Texas Current Production
Is 3,169,000 bbls a day. June. 2016
Unconventional Unproven Leading To Gas - Not Oil ?
Use Translate Button - Top Right

Texas - State
There is only two things more slow and boring then watching paint dry.
& That is waiting for Texas & HUD to update numbers.
But it still does not explain
discrepancies


TRRC updated /03/25/2014 . They went back months and years and changed all production numbers.
Does it take that long to count your oil?  See it for yourself at the link below.  Compare it with the production link above.

TRRC Archive Of Production


The topic of Texas & The EIA & Their best guess numbers for Texas is discussed often at the the peakoilbarrel.com
No one seems to ever report this in the media, crude oil is crude oil, not condensate.
peakoilbarrel.com - texas

For 10 Years Of Massive Hype & Debt & Pollution - The 1970 Peak Of 10,044,000 BPD Just Cannot Be Reached
Marion King Hubbert Was Correct In 1956 & Stands Correct Today
Hubbert Was Also Aware Of Shale (Tight) Oil Being Exploited One Day When He Made His Calculation
Voices Gone But Not Forgotten
Current US Oil Production - June 2016

EIA - All Crude Oil Production By State

The World
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Russia - Ukraine - China Boom Or Bust

Saudi Arabia - Ghawar Field Boom Or Bust

IRAN - Boom Or Bust

Iraq - Dick Cheney "Thoughts, Prayers With The Oil Wells"
Keystone XL Trans Canada Pipeline Boom Or Bust

Peak Oil World Production Boom Or Bust

World Extreme Oil Production Boom Or Bust

NOPEC - Not OPEC Boom Or Bust


The Coming Bust In World Fossil Fuels


What breaches and faults are concealed
In the shape of a heart

The Shape Of A Heart

Dedicated To Phyllis Major
We Should All Be Consumed by The Star Light - Not The Darkness


With
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Respect & Consideration
Tim Gramatovich, chief investment manager for Peritus Asset Management LLC, an $800 million fund, notes,
“There’s a lot of Kool-Aid that’s being drunk now by investors. People lose their discipline.
They stop doing the math. They stop doing the accounting.
They’re just dreaming the dream, and that’s what’s happening with the shale boom.”


There is a need for clarification between shale oil and tight oil. This is highly misstated in articles and media.  They are not the same.
Shale Oil     
Summarizing the Definitions  Tight Oil

As a investor one should always do due diligence to protect oneself.
The global economy is premised on expansion, where what we face is contraction  - Colin Campbell - 2012     Unfortunately, the Fed can't print oil - Ben Bernanke 2011

To Understand Energy Watch the Films - Its At A 5 Year Old Level.

Peak Oil - Energy - Growth - The Future

Arithmetic - Population - Energy - 1999

Voices Gone
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We face the future with our past and our present as guarantors of our promises;  &
We are content to stand or to fall by the record which we have made and are making.

But Not Forgotten






Question Is


Light Sweet Crude Future's 2016
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"A #1 World Class Market Timer"

Oil In A Month Chart
Does It Look Like Oil Has Found A Bottom? Current 09/23/16 - Is It Breakout The Drill Bits Yet. Price Closed At $44.55
The MACD Is Still Below The Zero Line - Note The Long Drawn Out Pan Handle Of The MACD Compared To 07-08


Oil In A Month Chart Using Camarilla Pivots

What Are Candlesticks
The Master Camarila Pivots Cam Calculator



Possible Pivot Points For NYMEX - WTI - /QM - Using - Camarilla Pivots

2015 - Pivots
2014 - High $107.70 - Low $52.42 - Close $53.75

2016 - Pivots
2015 - High $62.57 - Low $34.52 - Close $37.07


Falling Rig Count
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Year Over Year - To Date Sept. 23 - 2016 -  Down 38 Rigs - Current Count 28 - Last Year 66
Baker Hughes Rig Counts

EIA Bakken Decline Rate Charts



Can You Fix Stupid?
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October 2015 - Playing Pass The Risk In The (Tight Oil) Shale Patch

"The Saudis and OPEC haven't killed American oil...haven't killed American shale.
What they've done is make it faster, stronger, better and more ready to compete with them going forward,” said Dan Eberhart CEO, of Canary LLC, North Dakota."

This Is All Makes Sense Now, This Is Why Wall Street Keeps Lowering The Stock Prices
 Of These Exploration and Production Companies, They Are So Efficient They Never Needed High Valuations
Frackers Undeterred John Mauldin Confirms Failing Economics 101
Increased Efficiency = Decreased Valuation
Company
Stock Price 09/14
Stock Price 01/16
Company
Stock Price 09/14
Stock Price 01/16
CLR
$66.48
$19.92
WLL $77.55
$5.74
HES $94.32
$38.72
EOG $99.02
$62.95
MDU $27.81
$16.39
SM $78.00
$11.60
Some Have Become So Efficient They Have Had To Seek Bankruptcy Protection To Protect There Efficiency
Going For Broke

Billions Of Barrels Of Oil Gone In A Puff 12/2015

It Is So So So Tiring To Hear Locals Arugue That The USA Has More Reserves
(Not Resources) Then Saudi. Then They Tell You To Go Look It Up On The Internet!
Well The Graph Below Is From The EIA Itself. & The One Below That From BP
& The Link To The Most Current BP 2015 Statistical Review

The U.S. does not have significant oil reserves in spite of what we read and hear in the mainstream media.
 It is true that we are producing a lot of oil today, more liquids than Saudi Arabia.
That does not mean that we will have enough for ourselves in a few years.
In fact, the U.S. is only 11th in world for proven reserves
With 33 billion barrels compared with Saudi Arabia’s 268 billion barrels.
The USA & Its Oil Abundance

The Crap Told To Locals

"Since American companies produce oil at three to four times less cost than Iran, which has a breakeven price of $131 per barrel"
Lifting The Ban On Economic Prosperity

Here Is Another Example Of Trash
Disney & ABC Television & Blood & Oil - They Should Be Ashamed To Produce This Trash Show
"Its An Insult To The Men & Women Who Work With Hydro Carbons"
& "For Those Who Have Lost Their Lives In The Bakken"
It Is A Insult To Their Loved Ones
Simply Trash - It Isnt Even Filmed In North Dakota - The False Trash Statements Made In The Show
Shooting Guns In The Streets - People Living In The Streets
"Largest Oil Field Ever Found In The USA" - "10 Times Bigger Then Saudi"
The Largest Field Ever Produced In The USA Was Prudhoe - Alaska Peaked In 1988 At 2,086,000 bbls A Day- May 2015 473,000 bbls A Day
10 Times Bigger Then Saudi Would Be 10 x 268 Billion Barrels = 2.68e+12

Prudhoe Field Do Your Math

Disney & ABC Blood & Oil Trash


BP 2015 Statistical Review


The US Miltary Gets It - The Burden - Fossil Fuel Wars
In This Country Your Not Elected To Represent The People
Your Elected To Represent The Corporations That Bought You


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Big Debt
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A Great Thank You To Rune Likvern At fractionalflow.com  -  For The Amazing Data He Compiles

A Great Thank You To Rune Likvern At fractionalflow.com  - The Bakken Forecast & Retrospect 04/2016

A Great Thank You To Enno Peters At shaleprofile.com  -  Visualizing US Shale (Tight Oil) Production

Bakken Decline - Production - Reserves - Price - Chart



We're setting sail To the place on the map from which no one has ever returned
Drawn by the promise of the joker and the fool By the light of the crosses that burn

Oh, save me. Save me from tomorrow I don't want to sail with this ship of fools

Ship Of Fools


The Photo Says It All




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