1
| The Bakken/North
Dakota Return To Top Of Page |
| They
Say You Cant Fix Stupid The Misleading Crap Told To Local's That The USA Has Proven Reserves Greater Then Saudi & Now In 2017 The US Will Surpass The Peak Of 1970 - 10.044 Million BBLS Per Day |
| Bakken/North
Dakota
- Oil Boom Or Bust Data For Bakken - Production - Decline - Hype |
| Bakken/North
Dakota
- Real Estate Boom Or Bust - Permits - Sales -
Hype - Reality The Needs & No Common Sense Of The Few Out Weigh & Place The Burden On The Needs & Common Sense Of The Many "If The City Folk Have Their Way The Valley Will Die" - Orlin Hanson - Vanishing Minot |
| If You
Sense A Lack of Good Law Enforcement And A Sense Of
Lawlessness - You Should - Your Not Alone - Murder -
Drugs - Gangs - No Knocks Search Bakken Crime - Law Enforcement Boom Or Bust Page Awareness - Not Location Is Key To Self Preservation & Self Defense "In America We Have A Right To An Attorney & A Trial Before We Are Sentenced To Death."- Rachel Hoffman - Andrew Sadek |
| ND
State - Debt - Legacy Fund Data - State Debt $9.0 Billion - Big Money |
$4.0 Billion Cracker Plant To
Be Built 1st Plant Announced Oct. 2014 2nd Plant June 2015 - 3rd Plant Sept. 2016 |
Debt - Futures - Capex -
Stupid Money Four of every five new barrels of oil Simply replace output lost to the high depletion rates. |
| Bakken Oil Train Derailments |
Bakken H2S Sour Gas &
Safety Battle |
|
| ND
State Agriculture In Hydrocarbon Crisis |
REALITY
CHECK
ON U.S. GOVERMENT FORECASTS Drilling Deeper - 2016 |
Lynn Helms & The Disclaimer Who Is In Charge ? - Surge - The Lawsuit! |
| The Coming
Bust In North Dakota ? |
What If The
Boom Is Just A Bubble |
Energy Exploitation Of America |
| Hydraulic Fracking - Going To Far Hidden Beneath The Ground ? Biocides |
The Dark
Side Of Fracking In ND |
The Game Changer Of Shale (Tight) Oil Its The Water! Yes Water With Biocides |
Helm Says "Not A Bust" - "Field Of Lost Dreams" - The Bakken Exodus
Helm's Wage Is $16,695.00 A Month & The Guy Next To Him Gets $15,000.00 A Month
Combined Monthly Wage Of 115 People At The Industrial Commission $504,598.64 - Does Not Include Temps
| Helm's Not A Bust | State Payroll Roster -
Page 66 |
| The Cozy Relatioship | The Huge Spreadsheet
Error |
If Not A Bust It Has Created Several Other Booms - Post Oil Boom Drug Prices Fall As Gang Drug Trafficking Is Worse Then Ever 07-2016
| Jail Boom | Drug Boom | Sex Crime Boom | Poverty Boom | Heroin
Boom |
Gang
Boom |
If You Sense A Lack of Good Law Enforcement And A Sense Of Lawlessness - You Should - Your Not Alone - Murder - Drugs - Gangs - No Knocks - Fraud
Search Bakken Crime - Law Enforcement Boom Or Bust Page Awareness - Not Location Is Key To Self Preservation & Self Defense
"In America We Have A Right To An Attorney & A Trial Before We Are Sentenced To Death."- Rachel Hoffman - Andrew Sadek
State Employees Receive $2.1 Million In Retention and Recruitment (BOOM) Bonuses 11/2015 - While Crime Rages
| $100K Alone Went To 5 In Governor's Office | Are They Aware And Or Of The One Percent ? |
Dick Dever of Bismarck says the state has been competing with the private sector and the $1.5 million in retention bonuses are justified. As Crime Rages On
The Bakken Begins Its Decline 11/2015
Papers In The Roadside Tell of Suffering and Greed Fear Today, Forgot Tomorrow Besides the News of Holy War and Holy Need Ours Is Just a Little Sorrowed Talk
Ordinary World
| The New York Times In
Depth Look At & The Reality Of The Bakken Return To Top Of Page |
Gov. Jack Dalrymple - Outsiders, he explained, simply need to be educated out of their fear of fracking:
“There is a way to explain it that really relaxes people, that makes them understand this is not a dangerous thing that we’re doing out here,
That it’s really very well managed and very safe and really the key to the future of not only North Dakota but really our entire nation.”
Dalrymple Slam
| Oil Bust Puts Tribes & Towns Over A Barrel - 03/2016 |
| The
Downside Of The Boom - Part 1. - 11/2014 North Dakota Took On The Oversight Of A Multibillion Dollar Oil Industry With A Regulatory System Built On Trust, Warnings & Second Chances |
Where
Oil & Poltics Mix - Part 2. -11/2014 After An Unusual Land Deal, A Giant Spill And A Tanker Train Explosion Anxiety Began To Ripple Across The North Dakota Prairie |
| The
Downside Of Commodity Prices - 10/2015 The Heartland Feels The Chill |
In
ND - A Story Of Oil - Corruption &
Death - 12/2014 Where Oil - Poison Water - Corruption & Bodies Surface |
| Pollution -
Death - Cancer - Denton Outlaws Fracking Key Impacts - From Tight Oil Development - The Impacts On The Environment |
In The
Bakken - Blood & Needless Tragedy & Death “The Bakken is the most dangerous oil field to work in the U.S.,” Williams said. |
| OSHA Be
More Aggressive In The Bakken! "Shrewd corporate practices and weak federal oversight Shield energy producers from responsibility, When workers die, while shifting the blame to others." |
frackingcanada.ca A Remarkable Insight To The Madness Of The Oil & Gas Industry Fracking - Canada, USA, Austrailla, The World The Destruction Underway |
| Oil
& Gas - In Control "You Know What Happens To Lottery Winners" |
The
Prairie Blog "Area Voices" |
| Flint Hills Resources - Oil Price | Market Price
- Bakken Sweet Crude Return To Top Of Page |
Plains Marketing - Oil Price |
| Why Shale (Tight) Oil's Safety Net Is About To Expire | Regulator Warns Of Lending To E&P's |
"Finally we have an opportunity to go out and explore for oil and drill without fear of price collapse." Harold Hamm - 10-2011
"How North Dakota Became Saudi Arabia" !
It is from this twilight zone, that the "Bakken Red Queen” For some time outrun by the high oil price, cheap debt funding
Growth in global total debt and low interest rates will emerge and catch up. From here it will be most interesting to follow the continued race between
Bakken LTO extraction and its "Bakken Red Queen”. Rune Likvern
| The Delayed Red Queen | The Delayed Red Queen & Tick Tock The Water Clock |
Saudi Arabia Has a Solution to the Global Oil Glut Problem - 04/24/15
Saudi Arabia has a response to the global surplus of oil: Raise output to near-record levels and then pump even more.
The Solution
| The Problem - Oil Prices - They Are Not Low Enough | Bankrupt & Suffering - They Keep On Pumping 04/2016 |
Nearly
half
of the world’s proven reserves are in the Middle East. - Only 14% are in
North America.
U.S.
imports have declined since the advent of unconventional
oil. -The U.S. still imports 52% of its crude oil (7.9
million barrels per day 2016 average).
"That means
that the U.S. will become increasingly dependent on
foreign oil. - The
hype about energy independence is absurd." Art Berman
Oil Basics & The Limit's To Economic
Growth 10/2016Dont Hold Your Breath For $70.00 Oil - & The Demise Of The Bakken
& The Coming Economic Disaster When They Do 02/2017
| Five Year Average 2012 to 2016 - Low $41.56 - High $73.89 |
Ten Year Average 2007 to 2016 - Low $39.19 - High $80.15 |
Fifthteen Year Average 2002 to 2016 - Low $34.40 - High $68.34 |
Bakken Sweet Crude Futures - Flint Hills Resources Futures - Years 2000 To 2017
Bakken Sweet Has Only Traded Above $60.00 - Four Of The Past Seventeen Years
Price Per BBL - Time Frame One Year Candles
So I say I say
welcome, welcome to the boomtown Pick a habit We got
plenty to go around Welcome, welcome to the boomtown
All that money makes such a succulent sound Welcome to the boomtown
Welcome To The
BoomtownAll that money makes such a succulent sound Welcome to the boomtown
NYMEX - WTI - /QM - Light Sweet Crude Futures - Years 2000 To 2017
WTI Has Only Traded Above $60.00 - Six Of The Past Seventeen Years
Price Per BBL - Time Frame One Year Candles
"There must be some kind of way out of here, Said the joker to the thief, There's too much confusion, I can't get no relief.
Business men – they drink my wine Plowmen dig my earth None will level on the line Nobody of it is worth."
All Along The Watchtower
How Big Oil Is Profiting From The Slump
Is Unconventional Unproven Leading To Gas Condensate Not Oil ?
Well I don't mind stealing bread From the mouths of decadents
But I can't feed on the powerless When my cup's already overfilled
Temple Of The Dog - Hunger Strike
The Year Of 2014 - 2015 - WTI & Bakken Spread Pricing
bam-boom-bubble-bust-bump-bang
Does Anyone Think Any Of This Is Going To End Well
S&P 500 Index Price Overlaid With The Price Of Oil - As Of 2017
The Divergence Of Reality Continues
| Arresting The Decline Return To Top Of Page |
"The hard reality is this: propping up zombie oil companies is only going to make the downturn last longer."
Who Should You Call To Arrest Decline
What A Irony. Arresting The Decline. Long before oil price went in the toliet, Decline was everywhere. No one spoke much about her.
They seemed to deny that she was everywhere. They just kept feeding her and giving her more and more to decline.
They shrugged her off in quartely conference calls. Experts and everyday people with calculators warned of her. Wrote of her, charted her.
Respected her. Warned of the day she would overtake their enabeling addiction of drilling. Tryed to come up with ways to shut her down,
That just dont work in tight oil. So to have her arrested, who do you call? The police, the E&P's, the FBI, the NDIC, the TRRC, the media,
the banks, Wall Street. Probaly all of the above. It will be difficult, very difficult to bring her in, she is lurking at every lease, behind every
pump, in every production tank. She is in the paper work, the permits, the earnings, she is the thought that crosses the mind and is brushed off.
Updated When All Three Report Same Month Data
Bare In Mind - Increased Production Only Seems To Decrease Price
The Combined Production Of The Three Largest Play's - Bakken - Eagle Ford - Permian Basin - Current Mar. 2017
3,383,8545 bbls oil a day - Divided by (2008 to Current) 103,276 Wells - Is 32.7 bbls oil a day per well. 103,276 Wells Times An Estimated $8 Million Per Well Is $826.2 Billion
YOY 2015 - 2016 Combined Production Of The Big Three - Bakken / ND - Permian Texas - Eagle Ford Texas - Up 211,966 BBLS Per Day
YOY 2016 - 2017 Combined Production Of The Big Three - Bakken / ND - Permian Texas - Eagle Ford Texas - Down 371,932 BBLS Per Day
2017 Combined Production Of The Big Three - Bakken / ND - Permian Texas - Eagle Ford Texas - YTD Mar. 2017 - Down 29,002 Barrels A Day
Year To Date mar. 2017 - Bakken Production Is Up 83,316 bbls Per Day
Year To Date Mar. 2017 Permian - Eagle Ford Production Is Down 29,002 bbls Per Day
As Of Mar. 2017 - A Combined Count Of 3137 New Wells x $8 Million A Well Is $25.0 Billion
A Average BBL Per Day Well Production Of - (9) bbls Per Day
At A 2008 to 2016 Average Of The Big Three Of 32.7 bbls Per Well - You Would Need To Add 887 Wells Today
If You Could Bring Them Online Today - 887 x $8 Million A Well Is $7.0 Billion
What Are They Thinking !
The Problem With Oil Prices - They Are Not Low Enough
| Bakken/North Dakota Average1 | Permian Basin Average1 | Eagle Ford Average |
Bakken/ND - Permian - Eagle Ford - Combined Production - 2008 To Current 2017
In 2015 You Did Not See Candle Over Candle Growth - Nothing But Cross - Recross - Test - Of The 3.4 - 3.6 Mark - Doji - Doji - Vroooooooooooooom
2015 Ended As A Hammer - 2016 Ended As A Engulfing Bear Candle
| Tight Oil Charts Return To Top Of Page |
Tight Oil Daily Production - 2008 to Current
Bakken/ND - BK / ND / Permian - PM - / Eagle Ford - EF / Alaska - AK - - All State & Federal Data Lags Two to Three Months In Reporting
Alaska Peaked In 1988 / Bakken / ND & Eagle Ford Have Offset That Decline / No Data PM & EF 1988
Tight Oil Well Count Added Each Year
Bakken / ND - In Production Since 1951 - Permian West Texas - In Production Since 1921 - Eagle Ford - In Production Since 2008
BK / ND - Bakken / ND Is Actual Producing Count 2008 To 2012 - 2013 On Is Actual Well Completions Count As Reported By The NDIC
PM - Permian Is Permits 2008 To Current - EF - Eagle Ford Is Permits 2008 To Current
Gross Tight Oil Well Count Year Over Year
Bakken / ND - In Production Since 1951 - Permian West Texas - In Production Since 1921 - Eagle Ford - In Production Since 2008
BK / ND - Bakken / ND Is Actual Producing Count 2008 To 2012 - 2013 On Is Actual Well Completions Count As Reported By The NDIC
PM - Permian Is Permits 2008 To Current - EF - Eagle Ford Is Permits 2008 To Current
80% Of All ND & Bakken Production Comes From 4 Counties
Oil Production By ND County - dmr.nd.gov
| USA Oil Play's Return To Top Of Page |
Looking back at a prairie town People ask me why I went away To fly with the best, sometimes you have to leave the nest
But the prairies made me what I am today
Prarie Town
| Bakken / ND 1,050,630 bbls oil a day 13,717 Wells = 76.6 bbls oil a day April. 2017 Niobrara Col. 298,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Wyoming 203,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 California 481,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Permian Basin 1,487,245 bbls oil a day 66,842 Wells Permitted = 22.3 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Eagle Ford 870,971 bbls oil a day 22,426 Wells Permitted = 38.8 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Texas Annual 2,752,000 bbls oil a day 193,807 Wells = 14.2 bbls oil a day Jan. 2016 |
 Updated When All Three Are In The Same Month The Combined Production Of The Three Largest Play's - Bakken - Eagle Ford - Permian Basin BK/ND Current Mar. 2017 - Eagle Ford Current Mar. 2017 & Permian Current Mar. 2017 3,383,854 bbls oil a day - Divided by (2008 to Current) 103,276 Wells - Is 32.7 bbls oil a day per well. 103,276 Wells Times An Estimated $8 Million Per Well Is $826.2 Billion Dollars |
Utica Ohio 48,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Marcellus NY 1,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Pennsylvania 15,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 West Virginia 22,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 SCOOP - Okla. 425,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 New Mexico 439,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Kansas 100,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 Florida 6,000 bbls oil a day Mar. 2017 |
A Visual On The Chemical Cancer Of Fracking Spreading Across The USA - As Of 2013 - Mar. Of 2017 - 103,276 Wells
675,000 Wells Are Projected By 2040
| The USA Return To Top Of Page |
EIA - All Crude Oil Production By State
| Texas - Minus The EIA Return To Top Of Page |
Eagle Ford & Texas Boom Or Bust
Permian Basin - West Texas Boom Or Bust
Updated When All Three Report Same Month Data
Texas State Production - EIA Texas Production - EIA USA Production
For 10 Years Of Massive Hype & Debt & Pollution - The 1970 Peak Of 10,044,000 BPD Just Cannot Be Reached
Marion King Hubbert Was Correct In 1956 & Stands Correct Today
Hubbert Was Aware Of Shale (Tight) Oil Being Exploited One Day When He Made His Calculation
Voices Gone But Not Forgotten
USA Peaked In 1970 10.0 - Red Line & 1988 With Alaska 7.9 - Black Line & 2015 Tight Oil 9.6 - Blue Line
The USA Daily Production Is Off By 763,460 bbls A Day Mar. 2017
| TRRC Monthly Oil
& Gas Production 2,541,540 bbls a day current Mar. 2017 |
EIA - USA
Current Production Is 9,098,000 bbls a day. Mar. 2017 |
| EIA - Texas Current Production Is 3,305,000 bbls a day. Mar. 2017 |
Unconventional Unproven Leading To Gas
- Not Oil ? Use Translate Button - Top Right |
The topic of Texas & The EIA & Their best guess numbers for Texas is discussed often at the the peakoilbarrel.com
No one seems to ever report this in the media, crude oil is crude oil, not condensate.
peakoilbarrel.com - texas
All The Money Threw At Tight Oil & The Peak Of 1970 Just Can Not Be Reached
If You Take Out The Texas Condensate (Chart Above) That The EIA Counts As Oil Every Month - The Picture Is Even More Bleak!
The Time Frame Is Five Year Candles - & Math, Nature & Marion King Hubbert Are Priceless
Black Line Is 1970 Peak - Green Line Is Minus Texas Condensate - Actual USA Crude Oil Production In 2017
May 2017 The USA Will Meet & Pass The Peak Production 10,044,000 Barrels Per Day Of 1970 Before Year End
As Of March 2017 The USA Is At 9,098,000 Barrels Per Day - So Give Or Take A Million Barrels
If The Big Three Are To Make That Happen At Their Current Well Average Of 32.7 Barrels Per Well - Another 27,828 Wells Are Needed
Before Year End At A Estimated Cost Of $224.0 Billion Dollars
USA Oil Production Could Reach All Time High In 2017
Also If You Take Out The 763,000 Barrels Of Texas Condensate Being Counted As Crude Oil March 2017
You Need Another 23,333 Wells By Year End At Another $184.0 Billion Dollars
EIA - All Crude Oil Production By State
| The World Return To Top Of Page |
The Coming Bust In World Fossil Fuels
What breaches and faults are concealed
In the shape of a heart
The Shape Of A Heart
Dedicated To Phyllis Major
We Should All Be Consumed by The Star Light - Not The Darkness
| With Return To Top Of Page |
Respect & Consideration
Tim Gramatovich, chief investment manager for Peritus Asset Management LLC, an $800 million fund, notes,
“There’s a lot of Kool-Aid that’s being drunk now by investors. People lose their discipline.
They stop doing the math. They stop doing the accounting.
They’re just dreaming the dream, and that’s what’s happening with the shale boom.”
There is a need for clarification between shale oil and tight oil. This is highly misstated in articles and media. They are not the same.
| Shale Oil
|
Summarizing the Definitions | Tight Oil |
As a investor one should always do due diligence to protect oneself.
To Understand Energy Watch the Films - Its At A 5 Year Old Level.
Peak Oil - Energy - Growth - The Future |
Arithmetic - Population - Energy - 1999 |
| Voices Gone Return To Top Of Page |
We face the future with our past and our present as guarantors of our promises; &
We are content to stand or to fall by the record which we have made and are making.
But Not Forgotten
Question Is
| Light
Sweet Crude Future's 2017 Return To Top Of Page |
"A #1 World Class Market Timer"
Oil In A Month Chart Using Camarilla Pivots
Does It Look Like Oil Has Found A Bottom? Current 06/16/17 - Is It Breakout The Drill Bits Yet. Price Closed At $44.67
The MACD Is Still Below The Zero Line - Note The Long Drawn Out Pan Handle Of The MACD Compared To 07-08
Five Month's Of Banging Down And Sideways - Drill Baby Drill
| What Are
Candlesticks |
The Master | What Are Camarila Pivots | Cam Calculator |
Possible Pivot Points For NYMEX - WTI - /QM - Using - Camarilla Pivots
| 2016 -
Pivots 2015 - High $62.57 - Low $34.52 - Close $37.07  |
2017 -
Pivots 2016 - High $54.51 - Low $26.05 - Close $53.90  |
| Falling Rig Count Return To Top Of Page |
Year Over Year - To Date June 16 - 2017 - Up 25 Rigs - Current Count 49 - Last Year 24
Baker Hughes Rig Counts
EIA Bakken Decline Rate Charts
| Can You Fix
Stupid? Return To Top Of Page |
May 2017 The USA Will Meet & Pass The Peak Production 10,044,000 Barrels Per Day Of 1970 Before Year End
As Of March 2017 The USA Is At 9,098,000 Barrels Per Day - So Give Or Take A Million Barrels
If The Big Three Are To Make That Happen At Their Current Well Average Of 32.7 Barrels Per Well - Another 27,828 Wells Are Needed
Before Year End At A Estimated Cost Of $224.0 Billion Dollars
USA Oil Production Could Reach All Time High In 2017
Also If You Take Out The 763,000 Barrels Of Texas Condensate Being Counted As Crude Oil March 2017
You Need Another 23,333 Wells By Year End At Another $184.0 Billion Dollars
October 2015 - Playing Pass The Risk In The (Tight Oil) Shale Patch
"The Saudis and OPEC haven't killed American oil...haven't killed American shale.
What they've done is make it faster, stronger, better and more ready to compete with them going forward,” said Dan Eberhart CEO, of Canary LLC, North Dakota."
| Frackers Undeterred | John Mauldin Confirms | Failing Economics 101 |
Some Have Become So Efficient They Have Had To Seek Bankruptcy Protection To Protect There Efficiency
Going For Broke
Billions Of Barrels Of Oil Gone In A Puff 12/2015
It Is So So So Tiring To Hear Locals Argue That The USA Has More Reserves
(Not Resources) Then Saudi. Then They Tell You To Go Look It Up On The Internet!
Well The Graph Below Is From The EIA Itself. & The One Below That From BP
& The Link To The Most Current BP 2017 Statistical Review
The U.S. does not have significant oil reserves in spite of what we read and hear in the mainstream media.
It is true that we are producing a lot of oil today, more liquids than Saudi Arabia.
That does not mean that we will have enough for ourselves in a few years.
In fact, the U.S. is only 11th in world for proven reserves
With 33 billion barrels compared with Saudi Arabia’s 268 billion barrels.
The USA & Its Oil Abundance
The Crap Told To Locals
"Since American companies produce oil at three to four times less cost than Iran, which has a breakeven price of $131 per barrel"
Lifting The Ban On Economic Prosperity
Here Is Another Example Of Trash
Disney & ABC Television & Blood & Oil - They Should Be Ashamed To Produce This Trash Show
"Its An Insult To The Men & Women Who Work With Hydro Carbons"
& "For Those Who Have Lost Their Lives In The Bakken"
It Is A Insult To Their Loved Ones
Simply Trash - It Isnt Even Filmed In North Dakota - The False Trash Statements Made In The Show
Shooting Guns In The Streets - People Living In The Streets
"Largest Oil Field Ever Found In The USA" - "10 Times Bigger Then Saudi"
The Largest Field Ever Produced In The USA Was Prudhoe - Alaska Peaked In 1988 At 2,086,000 bbls A Day- May 2015 473,000 bbls A Day
10 Times Bigger Then Saudi Would Be 10 x 268 Billion Barrels = 2.68e+12
| Prudhoe Field | Do Your Math |
| Disney & ABC | Blood & Oil Trash |
BP 2017 Statistical Review - Page 12
The US Military Gets It - The Burden - Fossil Fuel Wars
In This Country Your Not Elected To Represent The People - Your Elected To Represent The Corporations That Bought You
Remember These People When Your Kids Are Sick & Loved Ones Have Cancer - Hydraulic Fracking - Going To Far
In This Country Your Not Elected To Represent The People - Your Elected To Represent The Corporations That Bought You
| "Oil Wells Are Beautiful" |
Roscoe & Spell Reporting | Roscoe & Oil Money |
| Roscoe & Wind Power | Roscoe & His Oil Service |
Roscoe Running His Mouth
1
Return To Top Of Page
| Big Debt Return To Top Of Page |
A Great Thank You To Rune Likvern At fractionalflow.com - For The Amazing Data He Compiles
A Great Thank You To Rune Likvern At fractionalflow.com - The Bakken Forecast & Retrospect 04/2016
A Great Thank You To Enno Peters At shaleprofile.com - Visualizing US Shale (Tight Oil) Production
Bakken Decline - Production - Reserves - Price - Chart
We're setting sail To the place on the map from which no one has ever returned
Drawn by the promise of the joker and the fool By the light of the crosses that burn
Oh, save me. Save me from tomorrow I don't want to sail with this ship of fools
Ship Of Fools
The Photo Says It All
Return To Top Of Page
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